Friday, November 17, 2006

NFL Picks Week 11

Well, I stayed at .500 for last week, but it's just a pain in the ass making picks recently. Atlanta lost to the Browns last week, the Dolphins are on a 2-game win streak, the Jags lost to the Texans and I just don't know who's really good anymore besides the obvious teams.

One note on my Seahawks- where's the respect from the national media? Our pro-bowl quarterback is out, the league MVP has missed 8 weeks, the offensive line has changed week to week do to injury, last years #1 receiver has been out for 4 weeks and the Seahawks are 6-3. This team is going to be a monster once they're healthy. And quite frankly, I don't think the "elite" teams could have withstood what the Seahawks have and kept winning. How many games do you think the Colts would win if Manning went down for a long stretch? That's what I thought. On to the picks (home team in CAPS)

BALTIMORE over Atlanta- After a couple of weeks of looking good, Vick and the Falcons looked bad the last 2 weeks. Add that to playing on the road against an excellent defense and a confident Ravens offence and I think the Falcons are cooked.

HOUSTON over Buffalo- 2 fairly bad teams, but the Texans have been improving, so I'll give them the nod at home.

Chicago over NEW JERSEY JETS- The Bears spanked a decent Giants team last week in Jersey, and I expect them to do the same against the Jets, assuming Grossman doesn't return to his Arizona-game form and take care of the ball.

NEW ORLEANS over Cincinnati- Both teams lost last week, but the Bengals defense blew a big lead and ended up giving up 49 points at home. The Bengals just seem to be headed in the wrong direction.

Indianapolis over DALLAS- God I hate the Cowboys, Bill Parcels and T.O. That team is like the perfect shit-storm for me, I can't wait until the inevitable implosion. Anyway, I'm not picking against the Colts as long as Manning is at the helm and it's still the regular season.

MIAMI over Minnesota- The Dolphins have looked good recently winning 2 straight, one of which was an upset of the Bears in Chicago. Meanwhile after upsetting my Seahawks a few weeks ago, the Vikings have lost 3 straight, and only one of those to a team with a winning record.

New England over GREEN BAY- I'm not real confident in this pick, the Pats are coming off 2 straight losses, and Favre and the Pack are looking better. But, I have to think Bilichik (sp?) and Brady simply won't let that team lose 3 in a row.

KANSAS CITY over Oakland- The return of Trent Green at home in Arrowhead against the Raiders. You do the math.

Pittsburgh over CLEVELAND- As bad as the Steelers started, they can still climb back into the playoff picture because of the mediocrity of records outside division leaders in the AFC. A win at Cleveland is a good way to start.

CAROLINA over St. Louis- The Panthers looked really sharp in the 2nd half on Monday, and if they can keep the Rams from scoring early, they should be able to knock out their 2nd win in a row.

PHILADELPHIA over Tennessee- The Titans play tough, but the Eagles seemed to right their ship last week and should win on Sunday.

Washington over TAMPA BAY- The Bucs offense looked terrible last week, but their defense still makes plays. I just think the Redskins are just good enough to pull this one out.

Detroit over ARIZONA- Just a guess, I have no idea with these 2 bottom feeders.

Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO- The Niners are playing better recently, but they can't hold my Seahawks down! Not with the MVP making a return!

San Diego over DENVER- The Chargers have some defensive problems right now, but who cares when you have the machine that is L.T.? I think this will be a shoot-out, and unless Plummer has a perfect game, the Broncos lose.

New Jersey Giants over JACKSONVILLE- The Jags don't seem to be able to play consistently, and I think the Giants will bounce back from last weeks loss, even though they're pretty banged up on defense.

Last week: 8-8
Season: 88-56


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